2026 NFL Week 8 Graded Picks, ATS Results & Opening-to-Closing Line Movement
In NFL Week 8 (2026), The NFL Ticket finished 1–1 ATS (50.0%) — Locks 0–0, Likes 1–1 — and 0–2 on Totals for −2.09u across 4 picks graded against the closing line at -110 vig (full season: 28–9–4 ATS, +17.13u with all 35 losses included). Start a 2-week free email trial on /free-pick or unlock the full board with the $9.99 one-time Season Pass (21+, no pick guaranteed).
Week 8 Summary by Tier (Graded vs. Close)
Locks (1.5u)
0–0
0u
Likes (1.0u)
1–1
−0.09u
Totals (1.0u)
0–2
−2u
Week Net Units
−2.09u
4 graded picks
Week 8 NFL Slate — Opening vs. Consensus Lines, Spread Movement & Injury Report
Full 14-game Week 8 board with Eastern kickoff times, opening vs. current/closing spreads and totals, key injury and situational notes, and kickoff-frozen pick status. Pre-kickoff paid Locks and Likes remain protected for Season Pass holders until kickoff.
| Matchup | Kickoff (ET) | Open Spread | Current/Close Spread | Spread Move | Open Total | Current/Close Total | Key Injury / Situational Note | Pick Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR3–4ATS 3–4 (A 2–2)@GB5–3ATS 4–3–1 (H 3–1) | Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET | GB -3.5 | GB -3.5 | No move (0.0) | O/U 47.5 | O/U 47.5 | Out: CAR QB H. King (coach's decision) · Out: CAR RB A. Dillon (coach's decision) · CAR on ~4.3 days rest | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| BAL4–4ATS 2–5–1 (A 2–2–1)@BUF6–1ATS 5–2 (H 3–1) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | BUF -3.5 | BUF -3 | 0.5 pt toward BAL (Key #3) | O/U 53.5 | O/U 55.5 (+2.0 (Over move)) | Out: BAL QB L. Jackson (thumb) · Out: BUF CB D. Alford (ankle) · BUF on ~13.9 days rest | Total: Over 55.5 (Open Over 53.5) · loss (−1u) Final: BAL 10–36 BUF |
| TEN1–7ATS 4–4 (A 3–1)@CIN5–2ATS 3–3–1 (H 1–2) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | CIN -10 | CIN -13.5 | 3.5 pt toward CIN | O/U 47.5 | O/U 46.5 (-1.0 (Under move)) | Out: TEN WR C. Tate (shoulder) · Out: TEN CB J. Jones (knee) | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| ARI3–5ATS 4–4 (A 4–1)@DAL3–5ATS 3–4–1 (H 1–2–1) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | DAL -6.5 | DAL -7.5 | 1.0 pt toward DAL (Key #7) | O/U 52.5 | O/U 54.5 (+2.0 (Over move)) | Out: DAL WR K. Turpin (ribs) · Out: DAL TE L. Schoonmaker (groin) · DAL on ~5.7 days rest | Like: ARI +7.5 (Open ARI +6.5) · win (+0.91u) Final: ARI 33–30 DAL |
| MIN6–1ATS 4–3 (A 3–1)@DET5–2ATS 2–4–1 (H 1–2–1) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | DET -3 | DET -3.5 | 0.5 pt toward DET (Key #3) | O/U 46.5 | O/U 46 (-0.5 (Under move)) | Q: MIN QB K. Murray (hamstring) | Like: MIN +3.5 (Open MIN +3) · loss (−1u) Final: MIN 15–19 DET |
| LV4–4ATS 6–2 (A 3–1)@NYJ2–6ATS 3–3–2 (H 2–2) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | NYJ -1.5 | NYJ -1.5 | No move (0.0) | O/U 44.5 | O/U 46.5 (+2.0 (Over move)) | Out: NYJ RB B. Hall (quadriceps) · Out: NYJ DE J. Ossai (ankle) · LV coast-to-coast at NYJ | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| CLE5–3ATS 5–3 (A 2–3)@PIT6–2ATS 6–2 (H 4–0) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | PIT -3.5 | PIT -3.5 | No move (0.0) | O/U 39.5 | O/U 39 (-0.5 (Under move)) | Out: PIT CB B. Echols (hamstring) · Out: PIT WR B. Skowronek (calf) | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| ATL3–5ATS 3–5 (A 2–2)@TB3–5ATS 3–4–1 (H 1–3–1) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | TB -1.5 | TB -2.5 | 1.0 pt toward TB | O/U 44.5 | O/U 43 (-1.5 (Under move)) | Out: ATL CB B. Bowman Jr. (hamstring) · Out: ATL RB B. Robinson Jr. (hamstring) | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| IND2–6ATS 4–4 (A 3–2)@JAX5–2ATS 4–3 (H 3–2) | Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | JAX -7.5 | JAX -10 | 2.5 pt toward JAX | O/U 46.5 | O/U 45.5 (-1.0 (Under move)) | Out: IND WR A. Gould (concussion) · Out: IND CB J. Walley (knee) · JAX on ~14.2 days rest | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| LAC0–7ATS 0–6–1 (A 0–3–1)@LAR4–4ATS 4–4 (H 2–3) | Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 PM ET | LAR -7.5 | LAR -6.5 | 1.0 pt toward LAC (Key #7) | O/U 45.5 | O/U 46 (+0.5 (Over move)) | Out: LAC WR B. Thompson (quadriceps) · Out: LAC CB D. Jackson (hamstring) · LAC on ~14 days rest | Free Pick of the Week → Open 1.0u Like · Freezes at kickoff |
| KC5–2ATS 3–4 (A 1–3)@DEN6–2ATS 6–2 (H 4–0) | Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | DEN +1.5 | DEN PK | 1.5 pt toward DEN | O/U 41.5 | O/U 42 (+0.5 (Over move)) | Out: KC CB M. Delane (shoulder) | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| NE5–3ATS 3–3–2 (A 1–3–1)@MIA1–6ATS 3–3–1 (H 1–1–1) | Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET | MIA +7.5 | MIA +7 | 0.5 pt toward MIA (Key #7) | O/U 44.5 | O/U 41 (-3.5 (Under move)) | Out: MIA OT K. Proctor (concussion) · Out: NE WR A.J. Brown (ankle) | Total: Under 41 (Open Under 44.5) · loss (−1u) Final: NE 24–19 MIA |
| PHI2–6ATS 1–7 (A 1–3)@WSH2–4–1ATS 4–3 (H 2–2) | Sun, Nov 1, 8:20 PM ET | WSH -3.5 | WSH -5.5 | 2.0 pt toward WSH | O/U 40.5 | O/U 40.5 | Out: PHI WR B. Covey (knee) · Out: PHI WR D. Smith (hamstring) · WSH on ~13 days rest | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| CHI5–2ATS 5–2 (A 2–1)@SEA4–3ATS 2–3–2 (H 1–1–2) | Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 PM ET | SEA -3 | SEA -3 | No move (0.0) | O/U 46.5 | O/U 46.5 | Out: CHI RB K. Monangai (thumb) · Out: SEA OT C. Cross (ankle) · CHI on ~11 days rest | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
Week 8 Graded Picks (Open vs. Close Line Movement)
| Matchup | Mark | Open Line | Pick (vs Close) | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE @ MIA | Total | Under 44.5 | Under 41 | NE 24–19 MIA | loss (−1u) |
| ARI @ DAL | Like | ARI +6.5 | ARI +7.5 | ARI 33–30 DAL | win (+0.91u) |
| MIN @ DET | Like | MIN +3 | MIN +3.5 | MIN 15–19 DET | loss (−1u) |
| BAL @ BUF | Total | Over 53.5 | Over 55.5 | BAL 10–36 BUF | loss (−1u) |