2026 NFL Week 6 Graded Picks, ATS Results & Opening-to-Closing Line Movement
In NFL Week 6 (2026), The NFL Ticket finished 1–2 ATS (33.3%) — Locks 0–0, Likes 1–2 — and 6–4 on Totals for +0.37u across 13 picks graded against the closing line at -110 vig (full season: 28–9–4 ATS, +17.13u with all 35 losses included). Start a 2-week free email trial on /free-pick or unlock the full board with the $9.99 one-time Season Pass (21+, no pick guaranteed).
Week 6 Summary by Tier (Graded vs. Close)
Locks (1.5u)
0–0
0u
Likes (1.0u)
1–2
−1.09u
Totals (1.0u)
6–4
+1.46u
Week Net Units
+0.37u
13 graded picks
Week 6 NFL Slate — Opening vs. Consensus Lines, Spread Movement & Injury Report
Full 14-game Week 6 board with Eastern kickoff times, opening vs. current/closing spreads and totals, key injury and situational notes, and kickoff-frozen pick status. Pre-kickoff paid Locks and Likes remain protected for Season Pass holders until kickoff.
| Matchup | Kickoff (ET) | Open Spread | Current/Close Spread | Spread Move | Open Total | Current/Close Total | Key Injury / Situational Note | Pick Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA4–3ATS 2–3–2 (A 1–2)@DEN6–2ATS 6–2 (H 4–0) | Thu, Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | — | DEN +2.5 | — | — | O/U 40.5 | Out: SEA OT C. Cross (ankle) · Out: SEA WR R. Shaheed (knee) · SEA on ~4.2 days rest | Total: Under 40.5 · win (+0.91u) Final: SEA 14–17 DEN |
| HOU2–5ATS 2–5 (A 2–1)@JAX5–2ATS 4–3 (H 3–2) | Sun, Oct 18, 9:30 AM ET | — | JAX -2.5 | — | — | O/U 42 | HOU @ JAX in London, England | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| CHI5–2ATS 5–2 (A 2–1)@ATL3–5ATS 3–5 (H 1–3) | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | — | ATL +1.5 | — | — | O/U 51.5 | Out: ATL CB B. Bowman Jr. (hamstring) · Out: ATL RB B. Robinson Jr. (hamstring) | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| BAL4–4ATS 2–5–1 (A 2–2–1)@CLE5–3ATS 5–3 (H 3–0) | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | — | CLE +3 | — | — | O/U 39.5 | Out: BAL QB L. Jackson (thumb) · Q: BAL QB J. Fagnano (knee) | Total: Under 39.5 · win (+0.91u) Final: BAL 10–13 CLE |
| TEN1–7ATS 4–4 (A 3–1)@IND2–6ATS 4–4 (H 1–2) | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | — | IND -6.5 | — | — | O/U 43.5 | Out: IND WR A. Gould (concussion) · Out: IND CB J. Walley (knee) | Like: TEN +6.5 · win (+0.91u) Total: Under 43.5 · loss (−1u) Final: TEN 26–20 IND |
| NYJ2–6ATS 3–3–2 (A 1–1–2)@NE5–3ATS 3–3–2 (H 2–0–1) | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | — | NE -7 | — | — | O/U 42.5 | Out: NE WR A.J. Brown (ankle) · Out: NE RB T. Henderson (illness) | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| NO2–5ATS 3–4 (A 3–0)@NYG4–2–1ATS 5–2 (H 3–1) | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | — | NYG +0.5 | — | — | O/U 46.5 | FOX broadcast · MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford) | Season Pass ($9.99 One-Time) Locked until kickoff · Free Pick |
| CAR3–4ATS 3–4 (A 2–2)@PHI2–6ATS 1–7 (H 0–4) | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | — | PHI +3 | — | — | O/U 39.5 | Out: CAR QB H. King (coach's decision) · Out: CAR RB A. Dillon (coach's decision) · CAR on ~13.7 days rest | Total: Under 39.5 · win (+0.91u) Final: CAR 25–14 PHI |
| PIT6–2ATS 6–2 (A 2–2)@TB3–5ATS 3–4–1 (H 1–3–1) | Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET | — | TB +2 | — | — | O/U 37.5 | Out: PIT CB B. Echols (hamstring) · Out: PIT WR B. Skowronek (calf) | Total: Under 37.5 · loss (−1u) Final: PIT 26–19 TB |
| ARI3–5ATS 4–4 (A 4–1)@LAR4–4ATS 4–4 (H 2–3) | Sun, Oct 18, 4:05 PM ET | — | LAR -12.5 | — | — | O/U 51.5 | Out: LAR TE C. Parkinson (ribs) · LAR on ~5.8 days rest | Total: Under 51.5 · win (+0.91u) Final: ARI 18–16 LAR |
| LAC0–7ATS 0–6–1 (A 0–3–1)@KC5–2ATS 3–4 (H 2–1) | Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | — | KC -7.5 | — | — | O/U 41.5 | Out: KC CB M. Delane (shoulder) · Out: LAC WR B. Thompson (quadriceps) · KC on ~14 days rest | Like: LAC +7.5 · loss (−1u) Total: Under 41.5 · win (+0.91u) Final: LAC 6–22 KC |
| BUF6–1ATS 5–2 (A 2–1)@LV4–4ATS 6–2 (H 3–1) | Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | — | LV +5 | — | — | O/U 54 | Out: BUF CB D. Alford (ankle) · Out: BUF OT S. Brown (back) · BUF coast-to-coast at LV | Like: BUF -5 · loss (−1u) Total: Under 54 · loss (−1u) Final: BUF 33–30 LV |
| DAL3–5ATS 3–4–1 (A 2–2)@GB5–3ATS 4–3–1 (H 3–1) | Sun, Oct 18, 8:20 PM ET | — | GB +1.5 | — | — | O/U 54 | Out: DAL WR K. Turpin (ribs) · Out: DAL TE L. Schoonmaker (groin) · DAL on ~10 days rest | Total: Over 54 · loss (−1u) Final: DAL 13–23 GB |
| WSH2–4–1ATS 4–3 (A 2–1)@SF6–1ATS 4–3 (H 2–2) | Mon, Oct 19, 8:15 PM ET | — | SF -7.5 | — | — | O/U 51.5 | Out: SF WR B. Aiyuk (personal) · Doubtful: WSH RB J. McNichols (foot) · WSH coast-to-coast at SF | Total: Under 51.5 · win (+0.91u) Final: WSH 17–23 SF |
Week 6 Graded Picks (Open vs. Close Line Movement)
| Matchup | Mark | Open Line | Pick (vs Close) | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH @ SF | Total | — | Under 51.5 | WSH 17–23 SF | win (+0.91u) |
| DAL @ GB | Total | — | Over 54 | DAL 13–23 GB | loss (−1u) |
| BUF @ LV | Like | — | BUF -5 | BUF 33–30 LV | loss (−1u) |
| LAC @ KC | Like | — | LAC +7.5 | LAC 6–22 KC | loss (−1u) |
| BUF @ LV | Total | — | Under 54 | BUF 33–30 LV | loss (−1u) |
| LAC @ KC | Total | — | Under 41.5 | LAC 6–22 KC | win (+0.91u) |
| ARI @ LAR | Total | — | Under 51.5 | ARI 18–16 LAR | win (+0.91u) |
| TEN @ IND | Like | — | TEN +6.5 | TEN 26–20 IND | win (+0.91u) |
| BAL @ CLE | Total | — | Under 39.5 | BAL 10–13 CLE | win (+0.91u) |
| CAR @ PHI | Total | — | Under 39.5 | CAR 25–14 PHI | win (+0.91u) |
| PIT @ TB | Total | — | Under 37.5 | PIT 26–19 TB | loss (−1u) |
| TEN @ IND | Total | — | Under 43.5 | TEN 26–20 IND | loss (−1u) |
| SEA @ DEN | Total | — | Under 40.5 | SEA 14–17 DEN | win (+0.91u) |